a posteriori

/ah pah-steh-REE-oh-ree (Classical Latin); ay pos-teer-EE-or-eye (English)/
Literally: "from the latter / from what comes after"

From Latin the preposition "a" (or "ab") meaning "from, after" plus "posteriori", ablative of "posterior" meaning "later, following, coming after". The phrase originally forms part of the logical expression "argumentum a posteriori", indicating an argument starting from what comes later (effects, observed cases, consequences) to infer something prior (causes, principles, general rules). It emerges in medieval Latin logical and theological texts and is rooted in earlier uses of "posterior" in Roman rhetoric and logic.

At a Glance

Philology
Origin
Latin
Semantic Field
posterior, prior, a priori, ex post, ex ante, causa, effectus, experientia, inductio, demonstratio, probatio, notitia, cognitio, sensus, argumentum, consequentia
Translation Difficulties

The phrase is hard to translate succinctly because it is both a grammatical Latin prepositional construction and a technical epistemological term. Literal equivalents like "from what comes later" or "from the latter" do not clearly convey its role as a label for knowledge that depends on experience, while more natural paraphrases ("empirical", "based on experience") risk narrowing its scope to sense perception or scientific method. Different traditions also contrast it with "a priori" in slightly different ways (source of justification, order of discovery, order of explanation), so a single English gloss can obscure these nuances. Finally, historical uses in theology, logic, and metaphysics tie "a posteriori" to arguments from effects to causes, which is broader than the modern epistemological sense of "empirical knowledge".

Evolution of Meaning
Pre-Philosophical

In classical Latin, the adjective "posterior" means "later", "following", or "behind" in temporal, spatial, or logical order; although the exact phrase "a posteriori" is attested, it often functions in a relatively ordinary sense ("afterwards" or "from the later"), for example in rhetorical discussion of arguments that proceed from later points to earlier ones, without yet serving as a fixed epistemological label.

Philosophical

In medieval scholastic philosophy, particularly in Aristotelian commentary and Christian theology, "a posteriori" and "a priori" crystallize into a standard pair of logical and epistemic terms: arguments a posteriori proceed from effects to causes (e.g., from the observable world to God), and knowledge a posteriori depends on sense experience; early modern philosophers inherit and adapt this terminology, with rationalists emphasizing a priori knowledge of necessary truths and empiricists broadening the scope of a posteriori knowledge to cover nearly all substantive cognition.

Modern

In contemporary philosophy, especially analytic epistemology and philosophy of language, "a posteriori" is used primarily to mark knowledge, justification, or warrant that depends essentially on experience, typically sensory or empirical, in contrast with a priori justification; the term figures in debates about the scope of empirical knowledge, the nature of scientific confirmation, the epistemic status of moral and mathematical truths, and the possibility of necessary a posteriori truths; beyond technical philosophy, it is also used more loosely in disciplines such as statistics, computer science, and economics to describe methods or probabilities assessed after observing data or outcomes.

1. Introduction

The expression a posteriori is a central term of epistemology used to describe forms of knowledge, justification, or reasoning that depend essentially on experience. Across its history, it has functioned both as a technical label within philosophical systems and as a more general marker for empirical or “after the fact” considerations in a variety of disciplines.

In philosophy, the term typically answers the question: On what does this knowledge or justification depend? When a belief is said to be known a posteriori, proponents usually mean that sense perception, observation, experiment, or other experiential input is necessary for its rational support. By contrast, a priori is commonly reserved for purported knowledge that does not require such experiential input. How exactly to understand this contrast, however, has been the subject of extensive debate.

Historically, a posteriori emerged from Latin logical and theological discourse, where it first described reasoning that proceeds “from effects to causes,” especially in arguments about God’s existence. It was later taken up in early modern debates between rationalists and empiricists, refined in Kant’s critical philosophy, reformulated by logical empiricists in terms of verification and observation, and further complicated in contemporary analytic philosophy by discussions of necessary a posteriori truths.

Outside of epistemology narrowly construed, the phrase (or its near-equivalents such as ex post) appears in theology, statistics, economics, and computer science to denote inferences or evaluations made after data, outcomes, or effects are known. These uses vary in technical content but retain a family resemblance to the philosophical sense of “from what comes later.”

Subsequent sections examine the linguistic origins of the term, its grammatical and classical Latin background, its crystallization in medieval scholasticism, its transformations in major philosophical movements, its conceptual analysis, cross-disciplinary extensions, and its ongoing role in contemporary debates.

2. Etymology and Linguistic Origins

The term a posteriori derives from Latin and is composed of the preposition a/ab (“from, after”) and posteriori, the ablative of posterior (“later, following”). Etymologically, it contrasts with a priori (“from the former”), forming a paired set that encodes an order of priority or sequence.

Latin Roots

In Classical Latin, posterior is the comparative of post (“after, behind”), used for temporal, spatial, or logical succession. The ablative singular posteriori frequently appears with prepositions such as a or ex to indicate origination from what is later in some order. This basic sense underlies the later technical usage.

The phrase argumentum a posteriori emerges in medieval Latin texts, especially within the Aristotelian commentary tradition. Here it designates a style of reasoning “from what is posterior,” usually understood as effects, observable phenomena, or known consequences, toward something prior in nature or explanation, such as causes or principles.

Development into a Technical Term

Philologists generally hold that a posteriori did not begin as a fixed epistemological term but as part of more complex expressions describing argument forms. Over time, it became elliptical shorthand for types of reasoning or knowledge grounded in experience. Its pairing with a priori reflects an adaptation of Aristotelian distinctions between what is “prior by nature” and what is “better known to us.”

The semantic field surrounding a posteriori in Latin includes terms such as experientia (experience), inductio (induction), effectus (effect), and causa (cause). These associated words helped shape the later philosophical sense in which the term refers to empirically grounded cognition and arguments that move from “later” or derivative items (effects, data) back to more fundamental ones (causes, laws, explanations).

3. Grammatical Form and Literal Meaning in Latin

Grammatically, a posteriori is a prepositional phrase in Latin:

ElementFormBasic function
a (or ab)Preposition“from, after, away from”
posterioriAblative singular of posteriorMarks the point of origin or reference

In classical and medieval Latin, the preposition a/ab governs the ablative case and commonly denotes separation, source, or starting point. When combined with posteriori, the phrase literally means “from the later” or “from what is later.” The “later” can be understood temporally (later event), logically (later step in an argument), or hierarchically (lower in rank or explanation).

Literal Versus Technical Sense

In non-technical Latin, a posteriori could be read quite straightforwardly as:

  • “from what comes later,”
  • “from the subsequent point,” or
  • “on the basis of the later [consideration].”

As the phrase enters scholastic logical vocabulary, this grammatical structure is preserved but receives a more specialized interpretation: the “later” usually refers to what is better known to us (e.g., perceptible effects), while the “former” (in a priori) refers to what is prior by nature (e.g., causes or principles).

Relation to Comparative and Ablative Constructions

The use of posterior in the ablative with a parallels similar constructions:

ExpressionLiteral glossTypical sense
a principio“from the beginning”from the first point or cause
a causa“from the cause”on the basis of the cause
a posteriori“from the later [thing]”on the basis of effects or later items

This grammatical pattern made it natural for medieval authors to adapt a posteriori as a compact label for reasoning that has its starting point in what is posterior in some relevant order, while retaining a literal meaning that still transparently reflects its syntactic components.

4. Pre-Philosophical and Classical Usage

Before acquiring its established philosophical sense, the phrase a posteriori and its components appeared in more general Latin discourse, particularly in rhetoric and logic. Scholars typically distinguish between this pre-philosophical or non-technical usage and the later, systematic epistemological meaning.

Classical Latin Contexts

In Classical authors, the adjective posterior and its ablative posteriori are common, but the exact phrase a posteriori is relatively rare and usually non-technical. It may refer to:

  • temporal sequence (“from the later part of the speech”),
  • structural order (“starting from what comes later in the exposition”), or
  • spatial relation (“from the back” or “from behind”), depending on context.

When used in discussions of argument or explanation, a posteriori can describe a movement that begins “from subsequent points” rather than from first principles, but without a fully crystallized epistemological contrast with a priori.

Early Logical and Rhetorical Uses

Some Roman rhetorical and logical discussions hint at an emerging contrast between arguments built from first principles and those that proceed from observed outcomes or consequences. In such texts, the language of “prior” and “posterior” often tracks:

  • order of presentation (which point is made first),
  • order of discovery (what is noticed first by an inquirer), or
  • order of explanation (what explains what).

However, scholars generally maintain that these uses remain fluid and context-dependent. The phrase a posteriori may be descriptive of expository order rather than a stable label for a kind of knowledge.

Transition Toward Technical Use

Later Latin authors, particularly in late antiquity, begin to systematize Aristotelian logic and natural philosophy. Terms relating to prior/posterior and cause/effect in commentaries on Aristotle’s Posterior Analytics and Physics provide the conceptual resources out of which the technical pair a priori / a posteriori could develop. Nonetheless, most evidence suggests that only in medieval scholasticism do we find the terms consistently used as standard designations for specific forms of reasoning and cognition.

5. Medieval Scholastic Crystallization

In medieval scholasticism, a posteriori becomes a fully crystallized technical term, paired systematically with a priori and woven into logic, metaphysics, and theology. Scholastic authors, working in Latin, adapt Aristotelian ideas about what is “more known to us” versus “more known by nature” into a vocabulary of arguments “from the prior” and “from the posterior.”

From Effects to Causes

A central scholastic usage is argumentum a posteriori, denoting reasoning from effects to causes. In natural theology, this structure underlies many proofs of God’s existence. For example, Thomas Aquinas describes two ways of demonstrating God:

“There is a demonstration through the cause, which is called propter quid; and there is another through the effect, which is called quia... We can demonstrate that God exists from his effects which are known to us.”

— Thomas Aquinas, Summa Theologiae I, q.2, a.2

Here, demonstrations “through the effect” are typically classified as a posteriori. They begin from observable creatures, motion, or order and infer a first cause.

Epistemic Contrast with A Priori

Scholastics also employ a posteriori to characterize knowledge dependent on experientia (experience). In commentaries on Aristotle’s Posterior Analytics, they link:

TermTypical scholastic gloss
a prioriFrom prior cause or principle; propter quid
a posterioriFrom subsequent effect; quia

Knowledge a posteriori thus depends on sensory acquaintance with effects, whereas a priori knowledge proceeds from grasp of causes or definitions.

Theological and Metaphysical Roles

In theology, a posteriori arguments are often presented as more appropriate to human cognitive limitations, since finite knowers start from what is more evident to them—empirical effects—and reason upward. In metaphysics and natural philosophy, scholastics distinguish a posteriori explanations that infer causes from phenomena (e.g., inferring substantial forms from observable operations) from a priori demonstrations that derive consequences from known essences or principles.

While details vary among thinkers (e.g., Aquinas, Scotus, Ockham), the medieval period establishes the basic pattern still visible in later philosophy: a posteriori aligns with experience-based reasoning from effects, and with knowledge whose justification crucially involves sensory or empirical data.

6. A Posteriori in Early Modern Rationalism and Empiricism

In the early modern period, the contrast between a posteriori and a priori is reframed within debates between rationalists and empiricists over the sources and limits of human knowledge. Both traditions use the terms, but they assign them different emphases and scopes.

Rationalist Usage

Rationalist philosophers such as Descartes, Leibniz, and Spinoza typically reserve a priori for knowledge derived from clear and distinct ideas, innate principles, or the intellectual grasp of essences. A posteriori is used for knowledge gained from the senses and particular observations.

Leibniz illustrates the contrast when distinguishing truths of reason from truths of fact. Truths of fact, associated with experience and contingency, are often seen as known a posteriori. Rationalists sometimes regard such knowledge as less secure or fundamental than a priori insight into necessary connections.

Empiricist Expansion of the A Posteriori

Empiricist thinkers—John Locke, George Berkeley, David Hume—reinterpret the landscape by elevating experience as the primary source of all substantive knowledge. For Locke:

“All ideas come from sensation or reflection.”

— John Locke, An Essay Concerning Human Understanding II, i

Locke’s framework implies that nearly all knowledge of the external world, the self, and even many abstract notions is a posteriori, since it depends on having had relevant experiences. The category of a priori knowledge is narrowed to relations between ideas, such as mathematics or logical truths.

Hume goes further by arguing that knowledge of causal connections is fundamentally a posteriori, arising from observed constant conjunctions rather than any a priori insight. This extends the reach of the a posteriori to central domains of science and everyday reasoning.

Comparative Orientation

SchoolTypical role of a posteriori
RationalismSecondary, sensory, contingent knowledge
EmpiricismPrimary, foundational source of most substantive knowledge

Despite disagreements, both sides retain the basic sense that a posteriori marks knowledge and justification that crucially depend on experience, extending and transforming the medieval focus on effects-to-causes reasoning into a broader epistemological principle.

7. Kant’s Systematic Definition of A Posteriori Knowledge

Immanuel Kant gives one of the most influential and explicit formulations of a posteriori knowledge, embedding it within his critical project in the Critique of Pure Reason. His definition is both terminological and structural, shaping subsequent usage.

Kant’s Definition

Kant characterizes a posteriori as follows:

“All our knowledge begins with experience... But though all our knowledge begins with experience, it by no means follows that all arises out of experience.”

— Immanuel Kant, Critique of Pure Reason, B1

He then distinguishes:

  • A posteriori knowledge: “that which has its origin in experience” (Erkenntnis, die ihren Ursprung in der Erfahrung hat).
  • A priori knowledge: that which is “independent of experience” and is characterized by necessity and strict universality.

For Kant, to say that a cognition is a posteriori is to say that its justification and content depend upon sensory intuition and empirical acquaintance.

Empirical Judgments and Contingency

Kant classifies judgments as:

Type of judgmentSource of justificationTypical status
Empirical (a posteriori)Experience (sensation, perception)Contingent, not strictly necessary
A prioriPure understanding and sensibilityNecessary, strictly universal

A posteriori judgments provide knowledge of appearances (phenomena) and are contingent in the sense that their negations are not self-contradictory.

Structured by A Priori Forms

Kant also insists that a posteriori knowledge is structured by a priori elements—forms of intuition (space and time) and categories of the understanding. Thus empirical knowledge is not a raw accumulation of experiences; rather, it is experience as already synthesized according to a priori forms. This yields a layered picture:

  • Source: empirical (sensibility provides manifold of intuition),
  • Form: a priori (categories and forms of intuition),
  • Result: empirical judgments known a posteriori.

Kant’s systematic distinction between a priori and a posteriori, along with his alignment of the latter with empirical, contingent cognition, becomes a reference point for later epistemology and influences how “a posteriori” is understood in logical empiricism and analytic philosophy.

8. A Posteriori in Logical Empiricism and Analytic Philosophy

Logical empiricists and later analytic philosophers reinterpret a posteriori within a framework shaped by formal logic, language analysis, and scientific methodology. The term becomes closely associated with empirical verification and observation sentences.

Logical Empiricism: Carnap and Others

For figures like Rudolf Carnap, Moritz Schlick, and A. J. Ayer, a central distinction is between:

CategoryTypical characterization
Analytic / a prioriTrue by virtue of meaning or logical form
Synthetic / a posterioriTruth-value determined by experience

Carnap describes empirically meaningful statements as those whose truth can, in principle, be settled by observation sentences or protocol statements:

“The truth or falsity of synthetic statements is decided by observation.”

— Rudolf Carnap, Der logische Aufbau der Welt

On this view, a posteriori knowledge is essentially empirical knowledge, justified by observational or experimental data, often expressed in a formally regimented language.

Analytic Philosophy and the A Priori/A Posteriori Divide

As analytic philosophy develops, the a priori/a posteriori distinction is increasingly discussed alongside the analytic–synthetic distinction. Many mid-20th-century philosophers treat:

  • Analytic truths as knowable a priori,
  • Synthetic truths as knowable a posteriori.

However, critics such as W. V. Quine challenge the analytic–synthetic distinction, thereby indirectly questioning neat mappings between analyticity and a priori status. This raises questions about whether “a posteriori” should be tied strictly to analyticity or instead be understood more directly as experience-dependent justification.

Refinements and Debates

Later analytic epistemologists (e.g., Paul Boghossian, Albert Casullo) debate how to define a posteriori justification:

  • Some link it to causal dependence on experience.
  • Others emphasize evidential reliance on perceptual or testimonial data.
  • Still others separate the epistemic dimension (a priori/a posteriori) from semantic and metaphysical distinctions (analytic/synthetic, necessary/contingent).

Within this context, a posteriori remains the label for beliefs and propositions whose warranted acceptance requires empirical input, but there is significant disagreement about how to characterize this dependence with precision.

9. The Necessary A Posteriori in Kripkean Semantics

In the 1970s, Saul Kripke introduced the influential idea that some truths are both metaphysically necessary and yet knowable only a posteriori. This challenges earlier tendencies to identify necessity with a priori knowability.

Kripke’s Distinction

Kripke separates two dimensions:

DimensionOptions
EpistemicA priori / A posteriori
MetaphysicalNecessary / Contingent

He argues that these dimensions are logically independent. A statement can thus be:

  • Necessary a priori,
  • Contingent a posteriori,
  • Necessary a posteriori,
  • Contingent a priori (in some cases, according to later commentators).

Paradigm Examples

Kripke’s key examples of the necessary a posteriori include:

  1. Theoretical identity statements such as “Water is H2O.”

    • According to Kripke, if “water” rigidly designates the same substance as “H2O,” then this identity holds in all possible worlds where that substance exists; hence it is necessary.
    • Nonetheless, we discovered this identity through empirical science; its justification is a posteriori.
  2. Mind–brain identities like “Pain is C-fiber stimulation” (if true).

    • The necessity would follow from rigid designation, but our knowledge of it relies on empirical investigation.
  3. Certain statements about origins, such as “This table is made from this particular block of wood.”

    • Under Kripke’s account of origin essentialism, such statements might be metaphysically necessary, though known only through experience.

Impact on the A Posteriori

Kripke’s semantics leads many philosophers to distinguish sharply between:

  • The source of our knowledge (empirical vs. non-empirical), and
  • The modal status of what is known (necessary vs. contingent).

The category necessary a posteriori preserves the traditional idea that a posteriori knowledge depends on experience, while rejecting the earlier assumption that all empirically known truths must be metaphysically contingent.

Subsequent debates involve:

  • Whether Kripke’s examples are genuinely necessary,
  • How rigid designation should be understood,
  • Whether there exist contingent a priori truths and how that affects the classification of a posteriori knowledge.

Nonetheless, Kripkean semantics firmly establishes that a posteriori need not be aligned with metaphysical contingency, reshaping discussions of the term’s role in modal epistemology.

10. Conceptual Analysis: Source, Justification, and Content

Contemporary philosophical analysis of a posteriori often unpacks the notion along three related but distinguishable axes: source, justification, and content of cognition. Different theories emphasize one or more of these aspects.

Source of Cognition

One influential approach defines a posteriori knowledge by its psychological or causal source:

  • A cognition is a posteriori if it arises from experience, typically through perception, memory of past perceptions, or inference from experiential data.
  • By contrast, a priori cognition arises independently of such sensory input, perhaps through reasoning alone.

This source-based view resonates with Kant’s formulation and many empiricist accounts.

Type of Justification

Another approach focuses on the nature of epistemic justification:

  • A belief is justified a posteriori if its warrant depends on experiential evidence—perceptual observations, experimental results, or testimony ultimately traceable to such evidence.
  • A belief is a priori justified if one could be warranted in holding it without appealing to any particular experiences.

Philosophers disagree on whether “justification” should be understood internalistically (as accessible reasons) or externalistically (as reliable processes), but many accept that a posteriori justification involves some essential role for empirical input.

Nature of Content

Some discussions tie the a priori/a posteriori distinction to features of propositional content:

  • Empirical content: Claims that concern the contingent state of the world (e.g., “This metal conducts electricity”) are often treated as candidates for a posteriori knowledge.
  • Conceptual or logical content: Claims whose truth appears to follow from meanings or logical form (e.g., “All bachelors are unmarried”) are often considered candidates for a priori knowledge.

However, Kripke’s work and subsequent debates weaken any simple alignment between content-type and epistemic status, showing that necessary truths with rich empirical content can nonetheless be known only a posteriori.

Comparative Overview

AspectA posteriori characterization
SourceOriginates from or is caused by experience
JustificationRequires experiential evidence for warrant
ContentOften (but not always) empirical, world-involving

Philosophers differ on whether the term a posteriori should be defined primarily in terms of source or justification, and whether content plays any essential role. Some hybrid views hold that all three dimensions are relevant, but caution that they can come apart in complex cases.

11. Relations to Induction, Empiricism, and Scientific Method

The notion of a posteriori is closely tied to inductive reasoning, empiricist philosophy, and modern conceptions of scientific method, though these relationships are interpreted in different ways by various authors.

Induction and A Posteriori Justification

Induction involves inferring general claims from particular observations (e.g., “All swans are white” from many observed white swans). Such inferences are typically considered paradigmatically a posteriori:

  • Their premises consist of observed data.
  • Their conclusions extend beyond the data and are justified by the weight of experience.

Philosophers such as Hume emphasize that our confidence in inductive generalizations is grounded in past experience and habits of expectation, illustrating a deep dependence on the a posteriori.

Empiricism and the Priority of Experience

Empiricist traditions generally treat a posteriori knowledge as the primary or exclusive avenue to substantive truths about the world. Empiricists typically contend that:

  • Concepts and ideas derive from sensation and reflection.
  • Justified beliefs about matters of fact require empirical evidence.

Within this viewpoint, the a priori/a posteriori distinction often tracks the line between:

DomainEpistemic status
Mathematics, logicOften regarded as a priori
Natural and social worldPrimarily or entirely a posteriori

Nevertheless, some empiricists seek to “naturalize” even seemingly a priori domains, suggesting that our apparent non-empirical knowledge may ultimately rely on evolved or learned cognitive structures informed by experience.

Scientific Method

In discussions of scientific method, a posteriori elements are central:

  • Observation and experiment supply the data upon which hypotheses are evaluated.
  • Confirmation, falsification, and evidence are understood in terms of how empirical results support or undermine theoretical claims.

Many philosophers of science describe scientific knowledge as empirically grounded and thus a posteriori, though they may also allow a role for a priori elements such as mathematical frameworks or methodological principles.

Competing models—such as hypothetico-deductivism, Bayesian confirmation theory, and falsificationism—differ on the structure of scientific inference, but they generally agree that experiential data play an indispensable justificatory role, aligning scientific knowledge with the a posteriori.

12. Contrasting A Posteriori with A Priori and Other Distinctions

The term a posteriori is most commonly understood in contrast with a priori, but it also interacts with other philosophical distinctions, sometimes being conflated with them and sometimes clearly separated.

Core Contrast: A Posteriori vs. A Priori

A standard comparative characterization is:

FeatureA posterioriA priori
Dependence on experienceYes, essential for justificationNo, at least in principle
Typical domainsEmpirical facts, natural and social sciencesLogic, mathematics, some conceptual truths
Modal associations (traditional)Often contingent (but see Kripke)Often necessary (but not always)

Philosophers dispute how strict this contrast is and whether any knowledge is genuinely independent of experience.

Relation to Analytic–Synthetic Distinction

Historically, especially among logical empiricists, the a priori/a posteriori divide was often aligned with the analytic–synthetic distinction:

  • Analytic: true in virtue of meaning; knowable a priori.
  • Synthetic: true in virtue of how the world is; knowable a posteriori.

Later critiques, particularly by Quine, challenge the clarity of “analytic” and question the mapping. As a result, many contemporary philosophers treat a posteriori as primarily an epistemic category, not reducible to semantic or logical properties of sentences.

Relation to Necessary–Contingent Distinction

Traditional views sometimes associated:

  • Necessary truths with a priori knowability.
  • Contingent truths with a posteriori knowability.

Kripke’s account of necessary a posteriori and possible contingent a priori truths shows that the modal (necessary/contingent) and epistemic (a priori/a posteriori) distinctions can come apart. Many philosophers now insist on keeping these dimensions analytically separate.

Discussions of a posteriori also interact with:

  • Conceptual vs. empirical truths: whether a statement’s truth is determined by concepts alone or by empirical facts.
  • Internal vs. external justification: whether experiential justification must be reflectively accessible.
  • Foundational vs. non-foundational beliefs: whether a posteriori beliefs rest on immediate experiences or on inferential chains.

In contemporary usage, a posteriori is typically reserved for the epistemic dimension of experience-dependence, while other distinctions are treated as related but not identical frameworks for analyzing knowledge.

13. Cross-Disciplinary Uses: Theology, Statistics, and Economics

Beyond its core role in epistemology, the idea of a posteriori (or near-equivalent terminology) appears in several other disciplines, often with adapted meanings that preserve the general sense of “after the fact” or “from observed outcomes.”

Theology

In natural theology, particularly within Christian scholastic and later traditions, a posteriori arguments refer to reasoning from observed features of the world to theological conclusions. Examples include:

  • Cosmological arguments: from existence and change in the world to a first cause.
  • Teleological arguments: from apparent design or order to an intelligent designer.

These are contrasted with a priori arguments that proceed from conceptual analysis of the idea of God. The medieval classification persists into early modern and contemporary discussions of arguments for God’s existence.

Statistics: Bayesian Inference

In statistics, a posteriori is closely related to the term posterior in Bayesian frameworks, though the Latin phrase itself is less commonly used. A key contrast is:

Statistical termIntuitive gloss
PriorBeliefs/probabilities before seeing the data
PosteriorUpdated beliefs after incorporating the data

Bayesians describe posterior probabilities as those formed after observing evidence, paralleling the epistemological idea of knowledge gained from experience. Some authors explicitly relate this to a priori (prior) and a posteriori (posterior) perspectives, though the mapping is not always exact.

In economics, ex post and ex ante are common Latin tags used to distinguish:

  • Ex ante: before the event, based on expectations or plans.
  • Ex post: after the event, based on realized outcomes.

These terms are used in contexts such as investment analysis, policy evaluation, and welfare economics. While ex post is not identical to a posteriori, it shares the temporal orientation of evaluating or reasoning after outcomes are known. Some economic discussions explicitly analogize ex ante to a priori and ex post to a posteriori assessments, especially when discussing risk, information, and learning from data.

Similar ex ante/ex post distinctions appear in law, finance, and computer science, where algorithmic performance may be evaluated ex post based on actual inputs and outputs. Across these fields, the underlying idea is that certain judgments or measures are formed in light of observed results, resonating with the philosophical notion of experience-based or data-dependent justification.

14. Translation Challenges and Semantic Nuances

Rendering a posteriori into modern languages involves several difficulties that stem from its grammatical form, historical uses, and shifting technical connotations.

Literal vs. Functional Equivalents

Literal translations—such as “from what comes later” or “from the latter”—preserve the original Latin structure but rarely convey the intended epistemological meaning to contemporary readers. Functional equivalents like “empirical,” “based on experience,” or “after the fact” communicate the dependence on experience but may:

  • Narrow the sense to sensory perception, omitting broader forms of experience (e.g., introspection, testimony).
  • Lose the historical resonance with logical order (from effects to causes) present in scholastic texts.

Cross-Linguistic Variation

Different languages adopt divergent strategies:

LanguageCommon renderingNotes
English“a posteriori” (often untranslated)Technical term in philosophy
Germana posteriori; sometimes “erfahrungsmäßig”Kant retains Latin term alongside German glosses
Frencha posteriori; sometimes “empirique”Philosophical literature often keeps Latin
Spanisha posterioriOften explained as “a partir de la experiencia”

The widespread practice of retaining the Latin phrase helps maintain continuity across traditions but can obscure nuances for readers unfamiliar with its literal meaning.

Shifting Theoretical Frameworks

As the term moves from medieval theology to early modern epistemology, to logical empiricism, and to contemporary modal semantics, its associations shift:

  • From effects-to-causes arguments to broad empirical justification,
  • From contrasts with propter quid and quia demonstrations to contrasts with analyticity and modal status.

Translators must decide whether to emphasize historical context or contemporary usage when rendering passages, especially in works that sit at transitional points (e.g., early modern Latin texts).

Risk of Conflation

Terms like “empirical,” “experimental,” “ex post,” and “after the fact” overlap partially with a posteriori but are not perfectly coextensive. For instance:

  • “Empirical” often carries a stronger association with scientific method.
  • “Ex post” in economics stresses temporal sequence, sometimes without explicit epistemic connotations.

Philosophers and translators sometimes highlight these differences to prevent conflation. As a result, many modern scholarly works preserve the Latin labels a priori and a posteriori as quasi-technical terms, supplementing them with explanatory glosses that capture the intended experience-dependent sense in a given context.

15. Modern Debates About the Scope of A Posteriori Knowledge

Contemporary epistemology and philosophy of mind, language, and mathematics host ongoing debates about how far a posteriori knowledge extends and which domains genuinely require experience.

Mathematics and Logic

One central question is whether mathematical and logical truths are knowable a priori or in some sense a posteriori:

  • Traditional views, influenced by Kant and rationalism, treat them as paradigmatically a priori.
  • Some naturalized epistemologists and empiricists argue that our grasp of mathematics is ultimately shaped by experience, cognitive evolution, and training, blurring a sharp a priori/a posteriori line.
  • Others propose hybrid views: the justification of mathematical axioms may have empirical components (e.g., through their fruitfulness in science), though individual proofs proceed a priori.

Moral and Modal Knowledge

Debates similarly arise regarding moral and modal claims:

  • Some philosophers view basic moral principles as accessible through reflection alone, suggesting an a priori status.
  • Others maintain that moral knowledge is deeply tied to experience of suffering, social interaction, and historical learning, casting it as substantially a posteriori.

In modal epistemology, questions concern how we know what is possible or necessary. Competing accounts appeal to:

  • Conceivability and intuition (arguably a priori),
  • Empirical theories about the world’s structure (a posteriori),
  • Or combinations of both, raising questions about whether modal knowledge is partly or primarily a posteriori.

Self-Knowledge and Introspection

Another area of dispute concerns knowledge of one’s own mental states:

  • Some argue that introspective knowledge (e.g., “I am in pain”) is non-empirical and thus not easily classified as a posteriori.
  • Others classify introspection as a form of inner experience, aligning self-knowledge with the a posteriori, especially when it involves inference from behavior or brain states.

External World and Testimonial Knowledge

Regarding knowledge of the external world, most contemporary views regard it as a posteriori, yet debates persist over:

  • Whether perceptual experiences provide immediate justification,
  • The role of testimony (knowledge from others) and whether its a posteriori status depends on prior experience-based justification for trusting sources.

Across these debates, philosophers reconsider how broadly the label a posteriori should be applied, whether certain traditional a priori domains might be reconceived as empirically grounded, and how to articulate mixed or hybrid forms of justification that combine experiential and non-experiential elements.

16. Legacy and Historical Significance

The concept of a posteriori has played a significant role in structuring philosophical thought about knowledge from medieval scholasticism to contemporary analytic philosophy. Its historical trajectory illustrates shifting conceptions of experience, reason, and their interaction.

Organizing Framework for Epistemology

Over centuries, the a priori/a posteriori distinction has served as a taxonomy for types of knowledge and justification, influencing:

  • The medieval classification of theological arguments,
  • Early modern disputes between rationalists and empiricists,
  • Kant’s critical project,
  • Logical empiricists’ efforts to ground philosophy in scientific inquiry.

Even where its boundaries are questioned, the distinction provides a reference framework for debates about how we know what we know.

Influence on Logic, Metaphysics, and Philosophy of Science

The term’s evolution has shaped:

  • Logical theory, through its association with analytic versus synthetic statements,
  • Metaphysics, particularly via Kripke’s introduction of the necessary a posteriori, which decouples epistemic and modal categories,
  • Philosophy of science, where empirical methods and observational evidence are characterized in a posteriori terms.

These developments show how a concept initially tied to arguments from effects to causes came to inform sophisticated discussions about modal status, semantic reference, and scientific confirmation.

Cross-Disciplinary Reach

The spread of related notions into theology, statistics (posterior probabilities), economics (ex post analysis), and other fields indicates the broader cultural impact of the idea of after-the-fact, data-dependent reasoning. While these uses are not always technically identical to the philosophical sense, they testify to the enduring appeal of the underlying contrast between what is known before and after experience.

Continuing Relevance

The legacy of a posteriori is evident in ongoing debates about:

  • The existence and extent of a priori knowledge,
  • The empirical or non-empirical status of mathematics, morality, and modality,
  • The proper analysis of epistemic justification in light of cognitive science and naturalized epistemology.

As philosophical and scientific theories of cognition and evidence evolve, the term a posteriori remains a central, if contested, tool for articulating how experience contributes to knowledge and how that contribution differs from the role of reason, convention, or conceptual understanding.

Study Guide

Key Concepts

a posteriori cognitio (a posteriori knowledge)

Knowledge or justification that depends essentially on experience—such as sense perception, observation, experiment, or other empirical input—for its rational support.

a priori vs. a posteriori

A priori knowledge is, in principle, independent of experience (often associated with necessity or conceptual truth), whereas a posteriori knowledge depends on experience for its justification.

Empirical knowledge

Knowledge gained through sense experience, experiment, observation, and related empirical methods; usually identified with or subsumed under a posteriori knowledge.

Argumentum a posteriori (argument from effects to causes)

A form of reasoning that begins from posterior items—effects, observable phenomena, consequences—and infers prior causes, principles, or explanations (e.g., inferring God’s existence from features of the world).

Analytic–synthetic distinction

Distinction between statements true by virtue of meaning or logical form (analytic) and those whose truth depends on how the world is (synthetic).

Necessary a posteriori

Propositions that are metaphysically necessary (true in all possible worlds where their subject exists) but can only be known through empirical investigation, as in Kripke’s examples like “Water is H2O.”

Induction

Reasoning that moves from particular observed cases to general laws or predictions, typically using accumulated empirical data to justify broader claims.

Experientia (experience) in scholastic and early modern thought

The Latin term for experience, covering sensory perception and often experiment; taken as the source of a posteriori knowledge and a key element in natural philosophy and theology.

Discussion Questions
Q1

How does the medieval notion of an argumentum a posteriori (from effects to causes) prepare the ground for later epistemological uses of ‘a posteriori’ as experience-based knowledge?

Q2

In what ways do early modern rationalists and empiricists agree about the meaning of ‘a posteriori’, and where do they differ most sharply about its importance?

Q3

Explain Kant’s distinction between a priori and a posteriori knowledge. How can empirical (a posteriori) judgments still be ‘structured’ by a priori forms and categories?

Q4

Why did logical empiricists tend to align analytic/a priori with synthetic/a posteriori, and how do Quine’s criticisms challenge this alignment?

Q5

Kripke argues that some truths, like ‘Water is H2O’, are necessary a posteriori. How does this example show that modal and epistemic categories come apart?

Q6

To what extent is mathematical knowledge a posteriori? Can arguments from the empirical success or fruitfulness of mathematics in science count as a posteriori justification for mathematical principles?

Q7

How do cross-disciplinary uses of ‘ex post’ and ‘posterior’ in economics and Bayesian statistics relate to, and differ from, the philosophical notion of a posteriori?

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APA Style (7th Edition)

Philopedia. (2025). a-posteriori. Philopedia. https://philopedia.com/terms/a-posteriori/

MLA Style (9th Edition)

"a-posteriori." Philopedia, 2025, https://philopedia.com/terms/a-posteriori/.

Chicago Style (17th Edition)

Philopedia. "a-posteriori." Philopedia. Accessed December 11, 2025. https://philopedia.com/terms/a-posteriori/.

BibTeX
@online{philopedia_a_posteriori,
  title = {a-posteriori},
  author = {Philopedia},
  year = {2025},
  url = {https://philopedia.com/terms/a-posteriori/},
  urldate = {December 11, 2025}
}